Pre Buy Propane Prices
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Propane prices dropped around 19 percent during the month of September and dropped even more over the first couple of days of October. Prices have recovered some, but it still may be a good time to buy price protection for this winter and maybe beyond.
We will look at several reasons to consider price protection, but we are going to begin with the simplest one that should also give the buyer the most confidence. We believe that, in general, if we can buy propane at or lower than what we paid the previous year, we should take advantage. No matter what we present as reasons to buy, propane prices could still go lower. Once we make the decision to get price protection either through storing, pre-buying or using swaps, there is a risk to falling prices.
As we write, MB propane is trading at 42 percent of WTI crude. That is a very low relative valuation that has resulted because of a surprisingly strong build in propane inventory over the past five weeks that has put it around the five-year average for this time of year. Over the last five years, propane has been valued at 62 percent of crude at this point in the year and was at 81 percent at this time last year. Propane has fallen relative to crude because of the build in inventory, forecasts for mild temperatures during October and low crop-drying demand. This relatively low value to crude represents upside price risk. Looked at in the other direction, it could represent a buying opportunity.
Propane inventory hit its low during the first week of March this year. The inventory-build period for this year began the next week. During the time since, U.S. propane demand has averaged 893,000 bpd compared to 1.066 million bpd during the same period last year. That is a 173,000-bpd, 16 percent, drop. There is the potential for at least some of that decline to be delayed preparation for this winter, which represents pent-up demand increasing upside price risk.
In April, we thought any buy made when front-month propane reached around a dollar per gallon would be a safe bet for this winter. The lows of September and early October exceeded our expectations. When prices fall like they have in the last five weeks, it can make us a little hesitant to see any price as an opportunity. Yet, we still think buys made when front-month propane reached a dollar were the right decision. That makes us even more confident in buys now that front-month propane is at 91 cents.
Even if prices dip again and our competitors are astute enough to buy at the lowest price of the year (which we always assume they will for some reason), we still think buys here are safer than normal for a few reasons:
There will always be those dealers out there who measure success on volume sold. But more and more, we find retailers seeing that as a losing strategy. We hear dealers talking margin over volume, quality over quantity. Given the current economic conditions, we see no reason that trend will not continue. One way to support that trend is to buy when the market gives us an opportunity. We believe enough upside risk remains to view current prices as an opportunity.
We have a special formula that helps us estimate your Propane fuel usage throughout the season based on weather and home factors. Let us come fill your propane when you are getting low and get 5 cents off per gallon!
The Customer will receive a discounted rate (propane only). An estimate of your annual usage will allow Corrigan Propane to determine an approximate amount owed, we then divide that amount into 12 monthly payments. This is a great option for customers on a fixed income.
The Enrollment form is sent to all current residential propane customers prior to the heating season. It needs to be completely filled out and returned with payment in full by the outlined Enrollment deadline.
Call (610) 593-5063About UsAbout Propane Delivery Installation & Maintenance Service Area HVAC Service Page Propane Resources Blog About Kauffman GasKauffman Gas has delivered propane to Chester County, Lancaster County, Delaware County, and Northern Delaware for more than 75 years for their gas water heaters and propane gas needs. Our highly trained and qualified service technicians and drivers are always ready to help you.
Customers enrolled in our Budget Plan can also enroll in our Cap Price program, which protects you against fuel price spikes. Each fall, we set a capped, or maximum, price on your heating fuel for the winter season. If fuel prices rise, your price will not exceed the maximum price. If fuel prices fall, your price will also fall.
With Glider Oil, you'll have the option to seasonally pre-buy your residential main heat propane. When you purchase your propane in advance, you'll have the peace of mind knowing that, if prices rise, your propane costs won't. Our Pre-Buy option cannot be combined with a Budget Plan or Assistance program.
Glider Oil helps customers manage their heating oil and propane expenses with a budget plan. We estimate your fuel expenses for the year ahead based on the number of gallons you used the previous year and the new cap price and then divide the total into 12 monthly payments. We also provide cap pricing to ensure your per-gallon price will never exceed our price cap.
Customers enrolled in our Budget Plan can also enroll in our Cap Price program, which protects you against fuel price spikes. Each fall, we set a capped, or maximum, price on your heating fuel for the winter season. If fuel prices rise, your price will not exceed the maximum price. If fuel prices fall, your price will also fall.To enroll in our Budget and Cap Price programs, contact us at 800-724-3835.
With Glider Oil, you'll have the option to seasonally pre-buy your residential main heat propane. When you purchase your propane in advance, you'll have the peace of mind knowing that, if prices rise, your propane costs won't. Our Pre-Buy option cannot be combined with a Budget Plan or Assistance program.Pre-Buy Propane Plans available July 2022. -->
At Glider Oil, the early bird gets the savings! We offer discounts for prompt pay on all heating fuels - fuel oil, kerosene and propane. If you pay your invoice within 7 days of delivery, you will get a 15 cent per gallon discount. (There is no charge for e-check or credit card by phone). Early Payment Discount cannot be combined with any other discounts. More information on our new terms.
Selecting the best propane pricing program may feel overwhelming or daunting. We get it! There are many options to choose from so we would like the opportunity to help you identify the best propane program to fit your needs and budget.
Read more...The Fixed Price Program provides an opportunity to protect customers against unexpected increases or decreases in market conditions. The Fixed Price Program creates a set price that will not fluctuate with propane prices. Customers must specify the amount of gallons they want to protect during the program selection process. This program is beneficial to customers when market conditions increase during the course of the heating season.
Read more...The Float Price Program is a floating, or variable, price that changes with current market conditions. This program performs well when market conditions are stable or declining. Additional benefits to customers are that NO gallons need to be specified and there is NO enrollment fee. The Float Program does not perform well when propane prices increase dramatically.
Read more...The Pre-Buy Program is a locked in price that does NOT go up and does NOT go down with market conditions. The pre-buy price that you contract for will be the price you pay per gallon for a specific amount of gallons during the program selection process. This program provides protection against dramatic increases in propane prices and is beneficial when market conditions are stable or rising dramatically. The Pre-Buy Program is not beneficial when the market prices decrease because your price will not go down. This program is the LOWEST priced program because it requires the customer to pay for all of the propane purchased before the heating season in one lump sum. There is NO enrollment fee associated with this program. For our customers in New Hampshire, our pre-buy price program is available May 1st through October 31st.
NOTE: When you commit to this program, Townsend Energy is simultaneously committing to you by purchasing the propane for you. We are not able to break this agreement with our suppliers. Be sure you understand that if market conditions decrease, you do not get a lower price.
Are you looking for a way to avoid fluctuating propane prices this winter Buy your propane in advance with our convenient pre-buy program. Purchasing propane at a fixed cost now will help you avoid the hassle and inconvenience of changing prices throughout the winter when propane gas is in high demand. Signups for our pre-buy program are open through September 14, 2022, or while our pre-buy supply lasts. 59ce067264
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Propane prices can change a lot throughout the year, so checking pre-buy options can help you save money before winter hits. If you're also interested in personal development, personal coaching Australia might help. Hey, I’m Nick… and I’m the Performance Coach you didn’t know you needed. I used to be someone with big ideas that never landed.